Comments on: I’ll take Door No. 3, Monty: what a game show reveals about decision making http://mediationchannel.com/2008/04/18/ill-take-door-3-monty-what-a-game-show-reveals-about-decision-making/ News and ideas about mediation, negotiation, conflict resolution, and law Fri, 16 May 2008 20:13:53 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.5.1 By: Michael Webster http://mediationchannel.com/2008/04/18/ill-take-door-3-monty-what-a-game-show-reveals-about-decision-making/#comment-1379 Michael Webster Sat, 26 Apr 2008 19:00:53 +0000 http://mediationchannel.com/2008/04/18/ill-take-door-3-monty-what-a-game-show-reveals-about-decision-making/#comment-1379 Hmm, switching always increases your chances from 1/3 to 2/3? Let us suppose that Monty Hall is lazy. Whenever he you pick door 1 and are correct then he only opens door 2 and never door 3. In the Lazy Monty Hall game, you are shown Door 3. Then it is a lock that Door 2 has the prize. So switching increases your chances from 1/3 to 1. What do you think switching does, in the Lazy Monty Hall game if you are shown Door 2, after picking Door 1? Hmm, switching always increases your chances from 1/3 to 2/3?

Let us suppose that Monty Hall is lazy. Whenever he you pick door 1 and are correct then he only opens door 2 and never door 3.

In the Lazy Monty Hall game, you are shown Door 3. Then it is a lock that Door 2 has the prize. So switching increases your chances from 1/3 to 1.

What do you think switching does, in the Lazy Monty Hall game if you are shown Door 2, after picking Door 1?

]]> By: Al at 7P http://mediationchannel.com/2008/04/18/ill-take-door-3-monty-what-a-game-show-reveals-about-decision-making/#comment-1341 Al at 7P Sat, 19 Apr 2008 17:40:51 +0000 http://mediationchannel.com/2008/04/18/ill-take-door-3-monty-what-a-game-show-reveals-about-decision-making/#comment-1341 Hi Diane - thank you for linking to my article at 7P Productions. I found the Monty Hall to be interesting, but even more interesting was the natural reaction to insist on sticking with a wrong answer. It was a great lesson to be more open-minded. Hi Diane - thank you for linking to my article at 7P Productions. I found the Monty Hall to be interesting, but even more interesting was the natural reaction to insist on sticking with a wrong answer. It was a great lesson to be more open-minded.

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